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Towards Economic Development in the Northern Province

by Rohantha N A Athulorale
Director - Economic Affairs
Secretariat for Coordinating the Peace Process

The on going conflict has resulted in economic and social repercussions affecting people throughout the country.  It is estimated that Sri Lanka lost 2 to 3% of GDP growth annually due to the prevailing terrorism in Sri Lanka. During the period 2002 – 2004 when there was a cessation of hostilities through the Ceasefire Agreement, real GDP growth increased four-fold to 12.6% in the Northern Province, whilst it doubled upto 10.1% in the Eastern Province. This depicts that the economy was waiting to develop in this area of Sri Lanka. With the liberalization of the Eastern Province the development which has taken place is remarkable where local companies have invested over Rs.1 billion in the new opportunities that have emerged in the Eastern Province. Sri Lanka is sure to see this same trend in the Northern Province in the near future.

Fisheries

Research from the Central Bank reveals that the Northern province GDP quadrupled   from an average of 3.4% during the free Ceasefire time period (2002-2004) to 12.6%. The main area of growth that was seen was in the agricultural and fishing sector which expanded by an average of 32% during this period in the Northern Province. This clearly shows when the North is liberated the key focus area should be agriculture and fishing. For the fisheries industry in particular we require cooling systems to be developed, specifically an ice factory, whilst also the physical distribution system needs to be revamped so that goods can be transported to Colombo and the other parts of the country efficiently. The model implemented in the Eastern Province can be replicated to ensure the security aspects of doing business post liberalization.

 
Fisheries
 

Sri Lanka must also use the Northern Province fisheries sector development programme to develop a strategy targeting the EU. Shrimp farming should be introduced to this area as one of the key markets globally for Sri Lanka - the EU depicted a 77 percent growth last year which explains the opportunity that we have in the global market place. We must look at removing VAT from shrimp feed which can be an incentive to the farmers in the North to get involved in this project. May be we can also set up a BOI type export processing zone dedicated to shrimp farming.

Paddy Sector

Central Bank statistics reveal that the overall Paddy Production decreased by 6.4% to 3,128,881 MT in 2007 with the Maha and Yala seasons dropping by 7.7% and 4.1% respectively. This resulted in Sri Lanka having to import rice by over five hundred percent to 88,000 MT in 2007.
 
Paddy Key Performance
 

However, World Bank research reveals that Paddy production doubled in the Northern Province from the average 65,000 tons to 138,000 tons during the 2002-2003 cease fire period. This means that, after the liberation of the Northern Province, we have the  opportunity of stopping the import of rice into the country and thereby also saving foreign exchange.

Labour Force

As per the 2004 report of the Department of Census and Statistics, in the Northern Province the labour force participation rate is as low as 34% whilst the national average is at 48.6%. This means that we need to drive livelihood development projects and get people involved so that there is no idle labour in the Northern Province. The focus on agriculture and fisheries is one way of addressing this issue. Recent studies done on this area reveal that with a focus thrust on agriculture and fisheries, labour force participation in the North can expand to over 50% which is above the national average.

Whilst driving the traditional industries we also need to focus our efforts on providing employment opportunities for women as the unemployment rate for women in the Northern Province is reported to be higher than the national average. Taking this information into consideration the main focus could be on industries like outsourcing (BPOs), which essentially recruit women.

However the challenge is how soon we can get the private sector involved, so that investment can happen similar to the Eastern province. A point to note is that Sri Lanka requires benefits in the short term due to the many economic shocks we face globally - like the oil price hike and WTO talks crashing. The need of the hour is an entrepreneurial spirit with a strong will to ensure that the menace of terrorism becomes just history in the landscape of Sri Lanka. [PeaceinSri Lanka.org]

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